{"id":12723,"date":"2023-05-27T22:58:45","date_gmt":"2023-05-27T14:58:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/?post_type=trading_knowledge&#038;p=12723"},"modified":"2023-07-24T11:43:03","modified_gmt":"2023-07-24T03:43:03","slug":"%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e4%bc%b0%e5%80%bc","status":"publish","type":"trading_knowledge","link":"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/trading_knowledge\/%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e4%bc%b0%e5%80%bc\/","title":{"rendered":"\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u5927\u5e2b\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u81f4\u5bcc\u7d55\u6280\uff0c1\u671d\u9818\u609f\uff0c\u53d7\u7528\u4e00\u751f !."},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"has-vivid-cyan-blue-color has-text-color wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c 01. \u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5462\uff1f\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u7528\u610f\u5728\u65bc\u627e\u51fa\u80a1\u7968\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u5c31\u597d\u50cf\u6211\u5011\u5e73\u6642\u53bb\u83dc\u5e02\u5834\u8cb7\u83dc\u8cb7\u8089\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u6211\u5011\u5fc3\u4e2d\u5927\u6982\u5c0d\u8089\u7684\u50f9\u9322\u6216\u662f\u5c0d\u83dc\u7684\u50f9\u9322\u90fd\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u5b9a\u898b\uff0c\u7576\u8001\u95c6\u5831\u50f9\u4e0d\u7b26\u5408\u6211\u5011\u9810\u671f\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u6703\u89ba\u5f97\u5f88\u8cb4\uff0c\u653e\u68c4\u9019\u7b46\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u8001\u95c6\u5831\u50f9\u8d85\u4e4e\u6211\u5011\u9810\u6599\u7684\u4fbf\u5b9c\u6642\uff0c\u57fa\u65bc\u8cb7\u5230\u8cfa\u5230\u7684\u5fc3\u7406\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u6703\u8cb7\u591a\u4e00\u9ede\u3002<\/p><p>\u9019\u4e00\u9ede\u904b\u7528\u5728\u8cb7\u8ce3\u80a1\u7968\u4e0a\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u6a23\u7684\u610f\u601d\uff0c\u7576\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u60f3\u8981\u628a\u80a1\u7968\u8ce3\u7d66\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u6240\u5831\u51fa\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8ce3\u7684\u592a\u8cb4\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u4eba\u60f3\u8cb7\uff0c\u8ce3\u7684\u592a\u4fbf\u5b9c\uff0c\u8ce3\u7684\u4eba\u81ea\u5df1\u5403\u8667\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u80a1\u50f9\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\uff0c\u5c31\u5728\u65bc\u627e\u51fa\u4e00\u6a94\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u5e02\u5834\u300c\u53ef\u80fd\u300d\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u518d\u53bb\u8207\u7576\u524d\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u884c\u60c5\u4e92\u76f8\u6bd4\u8f03\u3002<\/p><p>\u5982\u679c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u8a08\u7b97\u51fa\u6709\u67d0\u5bb6\u4f01\u696d\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E8%82%A1%E7%A5%A8\" target=\"_blank\" aria-label=\"\u80a1\u7968 (opens in a new tab)\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\">\u80a1\u7968<\/a>\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u67d0\u4e9b\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u88ab\u904e\u5ea6\u9ad8\u4f30\u4e86\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u6211\u5011\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6c7a\u7b56\uff0c\u800c\u597d\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u6c7a\u7b56\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e36\u4f86\u7121\u6cd5\u91cf\u8a08\u7684\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u6e1b\u5c11\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u8667\u640d\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u77e5\u540d\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u5927\u5e2b<a aria-label=\" (opens in a new tab)\" href=\"https:\/\/zh.m.wikipedia.org\/zh-tw\/%E6%B2%83%E4%BC%A6%C2%B7%E5%B7%B4%E8%8F%B2%E7%89%B9\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" class=\"rank-math-link\">\u5df4\u83f2\u7279<\/a>\u5c31\u5f88\u64c5\u9577\u4f30\u7b97\u51fa\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u771f\u5be6\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u9810\u671f\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u6709\u7684\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u8cb7\u9032\u88ab\u5e02\u5834\u4f4e\u4f30\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u88ab\u5e02\u5834\u9ad8\u4f30\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4fbf\u662f\u5c6c\u65bc\u50f9\u503c\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u505a\u6cd5\u3002<\/p><p><strong>\u5ef6\u4f38\u95b1\u8b80\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/trading_knowledge\/%e7%be%8e%e8%82%a1%e9%96%8b%e7%9b%a4%e6%99%82%e9%96%93\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/online_teaching\/macd%e6%8c%87%e6%a8%99\/\">\u5730\u8868\u6700\u5f37MACD\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u9032\u5316\u518d\u9032\u5316\uff01\u8b93\u4f601\u6b21\u5b78\u6703\u7cbe\u6e96\u6293\u51fa\u5e02\u5834\u8cb7\u8ce3\u6642\u6a5f\uff01.<\/a><\/strong><\/p><h2 class=\"has-vivid-cyan-blue-color has-text-color wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c 02. \u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong><\/h2><figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-full\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"790\" height=\"413\" src=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c.jpg\" alt=\"\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\" class=\"wp-image-12870\" srcset=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c.jpg 790w, https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c-600x314.jpg 600w, https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c-768x401.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 790px) 100vw, 790px\" \/><figcaption>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c<\/figcaption><\/figure><figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>\u4f30\u503c\u65b9\u6cd5<\/td><td>\u7d55\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c<\/td><td>\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c<\/td><td>\u806f\u5408\u4f30\u503c<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u4f30\u503c\u908f\u8f2f<\/td><td>\u57fa\u65bc\u516c\u53f8\u7d55\u5c0d\u6578\u64da\u9032\u884c\u4f30\u503c\uff1a\u5982\u516c\u53f8\u8ca1\u5831\u3001\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u3001\u8ca0\u50b5\u3001\u5229\u6f64\u7e3e\u6548\u3001\u7d93\u71df\u6210\u679c\u3001\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u5e03\u5c40\u7b49\u72c0\u6cc1\u9032\u884c\u6e2c\u7b97\uff0c\u4ee5\u8a08\u7b97\u51fa\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u771f\u5be6\u7684\u5167\u5728\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/td><td>\u57fa\u65bc\u4e0d\u540c\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u3001\u5e02\u6de8\u7387\u3001\u5e02\u552e\u7387\u3001\u5e02\u73fe\u7387\u7b49\u5404\u985e\u50f9\u683c\u6307\u6a19\u9032\u884c\u50f9\u683c\u5c0d\u6bd4\u3002<\/td><td>\u5c07\u516c\u53f8\u9032\u884c\u7d55\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u53ca\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u5f8c\uff0c\u518d\u52a0\u6b0a\u88dc\u5145\u5176\u4ed6\u8a08\u7b97\u65b9\u5f0f\u5f97\u5230\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u4f30\u503c\u7d50\u679c\u3002<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>\u4f30\u503c\u610f\u7fa9<\/td><td>\u5f9e\u516c\u53f8\u5177\u9ad4\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u6578\u64da\u9032\u884c\u6578\u5b78\u6e2c\u7b97\u4ee5\u6c42\u5f97\u516c\u53f8\u771f\u5be6\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/td><td>\u4ee5\u4e0d\u540c\u516c\u53f8\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u6578\u8a08\u9032\u884c\u6e2c\u7b97\u4ee5\u6c42\u5f97\u516c\u53f8\u8207\u4e0d\u540c\u516c\u53f8\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u76f8\u5c0d\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/td><td>\u7d55\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u8207\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u90fd\u5b58\u5728\u4f30\u503c\u4e0a\u7684\u7f3a\u9677\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u96c6\u5169\u5bb6\u4e4b\u512a\uff0c\u5169\u8005\u53d6\u5176\u9577\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u7a2e\u65b9\u5f0f\u8f03\u5c11\u4eba\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u5177\u722d\u8b70\u3002<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure><p>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6709\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u6709\u4e00\u53e5\u8a71\u8aaa\u5f97\u5f88\u597d\uff1a\u300c\u4f60\u7684\u5783\u573e\uff0c\u6211\u7684\u5bf6\u8c9d\u3002\u300d\u9019\u53e5\u8a71\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f88\u6f02\u4eae\u7684\u8a6e\u91cb\u51fa\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u5fc3\u4e2d\u8a8d\u5b9a\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u5176\u5be6\u90fd\u6709\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6c92\u6709\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u7a2e\u4eba\uff0c\u5c31\u5b58\u5728\u591a\u5c11\u7a2e\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002<\/p><p>\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u591a\u4e0d\u52dd\u6578\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u5be6\u6211\u5011\u4ecd\u8a72\u8fd4\u672c\u6eaf\u6e90\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u518d\u600e\u9ebc\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u7e3d\u662f\u842c\u8b8a\u4e0d\u96e2\u5176\u5b97\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u4efb\u4f55\u4e8b\u7269\u7684\u50f9\u503c\u6700\u7d42\u90fd\u6703\u53cd\u6a38\u6b78\u771f\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f8b\u5916\uff0c\u6545\u7121\u8ad6\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u7a2e\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u7e3d\u6703\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u500b\u57fa\u6e96\u8ddf\u6cd5\u5247\uff0c\u82e5\u4f30\u503c\u4f30\u5230\u628a\u9ec3\u91d1\u4f30\u6210\u5783\u573e\uff0c\u628a\u5783\u573e\u7576\u4f5c\u9ec3\u91d1\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u90a3\u9084\u4f30\u4ec0\u9ebc\u503c\u5462\uff1f<\/p><p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u4ecb\u7d39\u5169\u7a2e\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u82e5\u8981\u5c07\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u9032\u884c\u5206\u985e\uff0c\u7e3d\u9ad4\u4e0a\u4f86\u8aaa\u53ef\u4ee5\u5340\u5206\u70ba\u300c\u7d55\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u300d\u4ee5\u53ca\u300c\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u300d\u5169\u985e\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u7a2e\u7d55\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u90e8\u4efd\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u516c\u53f8\u672c\u8eab\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u9032\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u6aa2\u8996\u8a72\u4f01\u696d\u904e\u5f80\u7684\u8ca1\u5831\u72c0\u6cc1\u3001\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u3001\u8ca0\u50b5\u3001\u5229\u6f64\u7e3e\u6548\u3001\u7d93\u71df\u6210\u679c\u3001\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u5e03\u5c40\u7b49\u72c0\u6cc1\u9032\u884c\u6e2c\u7b97\uff0c\u4ee5\u8a08\u7b97\u51fa\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u771f\u5be6\u7684\u5167\u5728\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p><p>\u7b2c\u4e8c\u7a2e\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u5247\u662f\u4e0d\u5b58\u5728\u7d55\u5c0d\u50f9\u503c\u7684\u53c3\u7167\u7269\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u900f\u904e\u4f01\u696d\u8207\u4f01\u696d\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u9032\u884c\u76f8\u4e92\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u88ab\u7a31\u4f5c\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\u662f\u63a1\u53d6\u5e02\u76c8\u7387\u3001\u5e02\u6de8\u7387\u3001\u5e02\u552e\u7387\u3001\u5e02\u73fe\u7387\u7b49\u5404\u985e\u50f9\u683c\u6307\u6a19\uff0c\u8207\u5176\u4ed6\u67d0\u652f\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u67d0\u4e00\u7fa4\u80a1\u7968\u9032\u884c\u5c0d\u6bd4\uff0c\u5f9e\u800c\u5224\u65b7\u8a72\u80a1\u7968\u662f\u88ab\u9ad8\u4f30\u9084\u662f\u4f4e\u4f30\u3002<\/p><p>\ud83d\udc49<strong>\u5982\u4f55\u6293\u4f4f\u8d77\u6f32\u9ede ? \u514d\u8cbb\u7d22\u53d6 &gt;&gt;&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/trading_knowledge\/%e8%b5%b7%e6%bc%b2%e9%bb%9e\/\" target=\"_blank\">\u9ad8\u500d\u901f\u7372\u5229\u8cb7\u9ede\u96fb\u5b50\u66f8<\/a><\/strong><\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide\"><a href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/trading_knowledge\/%e8%b5%b7%e6%bc%b2%e9%bb%9e\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/options.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/%E9%AB%98%E5%80%8D%E9%80%9F%E7%8D%B2%E5%88%A9%E8%B2%B7%E9%BB%9E%E9%9B%BB%E5%AD%90%E6%9B%B8-1024x535.jpg\" alt=\"\u9ad8\u500d\u901f\u7372\u5229\u8cb7\u9ede\u96fb\u5b50\u66f8\" class=\"wp-image-6998\"\/><\/a><\/figure><h2 class=\"has-vivid-cyan-blue-color has-text-color wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c 03. \u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u6a21\u578b<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u7d55\u5c0d\u4f30\u503c\u6709\u5169\u7a2e\u5e38\u898b\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u6a21\u578b\uff1a<\/p><h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03-1. \u80a1\u606f\u6298\u73fe\u6a21\u578b(<a href=\"https:\/\/zh.m.wikipedia.org\/zh-tw\/%E8%82%A1%E6%81%AF%E8%B2%BC%E7%8F%BE%E6%A8%A1%E5%9E%8B\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u80a1\u606f\u8cbc\u73fe\u6a21\u578b<\/a>)<\/strong><\/h3><h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u516c\u5f0f\uff1a\u80a1\u7968\u50f9\u503c\uff1d\u6bcf\u80a1\u9810\u671f\u80a1\u5229 \u00f7\uff08\u6298\u73fe\u7387\uff0d\u80a1\u5229\u589e\u9577\u7387\uff09<\/strong><\/h5><p>\u80a1\u606f\u6298\u73fe\u6a21\u578b(Dividend Discount Model,DDM)\u662f\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u6298\u73fe\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u7279\u6b8a\u5f62\u5f0f\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u4ee5\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u89d2\u5ea6\u4f30\u7b97\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u7968\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u5408\u7406\u503c\uff0c\u5176\u539f\u7406\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u9810\u671f\u6703\u6d3e\u767c\u7684\u80a1\u606f\u6309\u5229\u7387\u8cbc\u73fe\u76f4\u63a5\u8f49\u63db\u70ba\u73fe\u503c\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u80a1\u606f\u7684\u6de8\u503c\u7e3d\u548c\u51fa\u8a72\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5408\u7406\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p><p>\u5982\u679c\u8a08\u7b97\u7d50\u679c\u9ad8\u65bc\u80a1\u50f9\u8868\u793a\u7576\u524d\u80a1\u50f9\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\uff0c\u5177\u5099\u7372\u5229\u6f5b\u529b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8a08\u7b97\u7d50\u679c\u4f4e\u65bc\u80a1\u50f9\u8868\u793a\u7576\u524d\u80a1\u50f9\u88ab\u9ad8\u4f30\uff0c\u6f5b\u5728\u5831\u916c\u4f4e\u4e0d\u61c9\u8cb7\u9032\uff0c\u516c\u53f8\u82e5\u6d3e\u606f\u6b63\u5e38\u3001\u71df\u904b\u6b63\u5e38\u3001\u6210\u9577\u7a69\u5b9a\u4e14\u78ba\u5be6\u9023\u7e8c\u767c\u653e\u80a1\u606f\u6642\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u4ee5\u9818\u80a1\u606f\u70ba\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u7684\u4eba\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u8a72\u6a21\u578b\u78ba\u5be6\u5177\u5099\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u6e96\u78ba\u5ea6\u3002<\/p><p>\u4f46\u9019\u500b\u8a08\u7b97\u6a21\u578b\u4e5f\u5b58\u5728\u8457\u7f3a\u9677\uff0c\u90a3\u5c31\u662f\u7576\u516c\u53f8\u57fa\u65bc\u7a05\u52d9\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u70ba\u4e86\u907f\u7a05\u800c\u63a1\u53d6\u5176\u4ed6\u4f5c\u6cd5\uff0c\u5982\u4e0d\u767c\u80a1\u606f\u3001\u80a1\u7968\u56de\u8cfc\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u662f\u7576\u8cfc\u8cb7\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u4eba\u672c\u8eab\u6839\u672c\u5c31\u4e0d\u662f\u57fa\u65bc\u9818\u80a1\u606f\u70ba\u8003\u91cf\u800c\u6301\u6709\u8a72\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u6b64\u8a08\u7b97\u6a21\u578b\u5c07\u55aa\u5931\u5176\u50f9\u503c\u3002<\/p><h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>03-2. \u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u6298\u73fe\u6a21\u578b<\/strong><\/h3><p>\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u6298\u73fe\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u53ef\u4ee5\u8868\u8ff0\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p><p>P0 = (E0CF<sub>1<\/sub>)\/(1 + r) + (E0CF<sub>2<\/sub>)\/(1 + r)<sup>2<\/sup> + &#8230; (\u5ef6\u7e8c\u5230\u7121\u9650\u671f)<\/p><p>\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u6298\u73fe\u6a21\u578b(Discounted Cashflow Model, DCF)\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u5728\u6295\u8cc7\u9818\u57df\u88ab\u5ee3\u6cdb\u904b\u7528\u7684\u5b9a\u50f9\u6a21\u578b\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u8a08\u7b97\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u5f97\u51fa\u8a72\u4f01\u696d\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u6298\u73fe\u7387\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u5f97\u51fa\u4e00\u9805\u6295\u8cc7\u6216\u4e00\u500b\u4f01\u696d\u7576\u524d\u7684\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u7b49\u65bc\u5176\u672a\u4f86\u6240\u7522\u751f\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u73fe\u503c\u4e4b\u548c\u3002<\/p><p>\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u8a08\u7b97\u65b9\u5f0f\u5b58\u5728\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6a23\u7684\u7f3a\u9677\u5462\uff1f\u5176\u5be6\u9019\u5305\u62ec\u4e86\u73fe\u5be6\u904b\u7528\u4e0a\u8a31\u591a\u908f\u8f2f\u4e0a\u7684\u77db\u76fe\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u9810\u671f\u672a\u4f86\u7121\u9650\u671f\u7522\u751f\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u7d55\u7121\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u518d\u4f86\u53ea\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u671f\u7684\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u7684\u53ef\u9760\u6027\u4e5f\u5341\u5206\u53ef\u7591\u3002<\/p><p>\u4e14\u73fe\u91d1\u6d41\u4f5c\u70ba\u9810\u6e2c\u5c0d\u50cf\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u5982\u96f2\u9727\u822c\u96e3\u4ee5\u6349\u6478\uff0c\u600e\u9ebc\u53ef\u80fd\u4f5c\u70ba\u8cc7\u672c\u6210\u672c\u5f97\u51fa\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u4f9d\u64da\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u7a0d\u5fae\u932f\u6f0f\u4e86\u4e00\u4e9b\u5730\u65b9\uff0c\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u9810\u6e2c\u7d50\u679c\u5929\u5dee\u5730\u9060\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u8a31\u591a\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u58eb\u6703\u57fa\u65bc\u6b64\u6a21\u578b\u4e0a\u9032\u884c\u4e00\u4e9b\u984d\u5916\u7684\u88dc\u5145\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u524d\u6587\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u80a1\u606f\u6298\u73fe\u6a21\u578b\u4fbf\u662f\u88dc\u5145\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002<\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"790\" height=\"413\" src=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c2.jpg\" alt=\"\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c2\" class=\"wp-image-12871\" srcset=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c2.jpg 790w, https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c2-600x314.jpg 600w, https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c2-300x157.jpg 300w, https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c2-768x401.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 790px) 100vw, 790px\" \/><figcaption>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c<\/figcaption><\/figure><h2 class=\"has-vivid-cyan-blue-color has-text-color wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c 04. \u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u7f3a\u9ede<\/strong><\/h2><p>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u597d\u8655\u7576\u7136\u662f\u5e6b\u52a9\u6211\u5011\u80fd\u66f4\u52a0\u7406\u89e3\u8a72\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u5be6\u969b\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u4f46\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u5c31\u50cf\u524d\u6587\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u90fd\u6709\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u6700\u96e3\u6487\u958b\u7684\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u5c31\u662f\u504f\u898b\u3002<\/p><p>\u6211\u5011\u5176\u5be6\u96e3\u4ee5\u5728\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5b8c\u5168\u6487\u958b\u81ea\u5df1\u5167\u5fc3\u7684\u504f\u898b\uff0c\u5728\u8a08\u7b97\u4e4b\u524d\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u65bc\u8a31\u591a\u4e8b\u7269\u6709\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\u65e9\u5df2\u5b58\u5728\u5b9a\u898b\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982HTC\u98db\u6f32\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u88e1\uff0c\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u7684\u4f30\u503c\u76ee\u7684\u53ea\u662f\u8981\u8aaa\u670d\u81ea\u5df1\u8cb7\u5165\u9019\u6a94\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u8a08\u7b97\u4e0a\u5f80\u5f80\u9084\u662f\u96a8\u8457\u8a08\u7b97\u8005\u7684\u504f\u597d\uff0c\u904e\u5ea6\u5074\u91cd\u6216\u5ffd\u7565\u67d0\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u3002<\/p><p>\u518d\u4f86\u6211\u5011\u5fc5\u9808\u8a8d\u540c\uff0c\u4f30\u503c\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c\u51fa\u932f\u662f\u5fc5\u7136\u7684\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u7576\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u904e\u65bc\u8907\u96dc\u6642\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u53cd\u904e\u4f86\u8aaa\u5c31\u662f\u5728\u70ba\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u8a08\u7b97\u52a0\u4e0a\u4e00\u5c64\u53c8\u4e00\u5c64\u7684\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u9650\u5236\u904e\u591a\u7684\u8a08\u7b97\u65b9\u5f0f\u81ea\u7136\u5c31\u63d0\u4e0d\u4e0a\u6709\u591a\u9ad8\u7684\u6e96\u78ba\u6027\u4e86\uff0c\u53ea\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u6578\u64da\u8a08\u7b97\u66f4\u7e41\u7463\u4f46\u53c8\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u6e96\u78ba\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5343\u842c\u4e0d\u8981\u904e\u5ea6\u76f8\u4fe1\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u3002<\/p><h2 class=\"has-vivid-cyan-blue-color has-text-color wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c 05<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>. \u4ec0\u9ebc\u662fWINSMART\uff1f<\/strong><\/h2><p><a href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/%e8%bf%91%e6%9c%9f%e6%b4%bb%e5%8b%95\/?utm_source=%E4%BA%A4%E6%98%93%E7%9F%A5%E8%AD%98&amp;utm_medium=WS%E5%AE%98%E7%B6%B2&amp;utm_campaign=%E8%82%A1%E7%A5%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%80%BC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">WINSMART<\/a>\u662f\u4e00\u6b3e\u53ef\u4ee5\u4ea4\u6613\u80a1\u7968\u3001\u570b\u5167\u5916\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u80a1\u7968\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u5916\u532f\u7b49\u5546\u54c1\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8f14\u52a9\u4ea4\u6613\u8edf\u9ad4\uff0c\u9069\u5408\u4e0d\u60f3\u6d6a\u8cbb\u6642\u9593\u76ef\u76e4\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u5e38\u5e38\u72e0\u4e0d\u4e0b\u5fc3\u505c\u640d\u6216\u62b1\u4e0d\u4f4f\u90e8\u4f4d\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u3002<\/p><p>\u7121\u8ad6\u4f60\u662f\u5f9e\u672a\u63a5\u89f8\u904e\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u65b0\u624b\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u5df2\u7d93\u4ea4\u6613\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u8001\u624b\uff0c\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u53c3\u8003<a href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/%e8%bf%91%e6%9c%9f%e6%b4%bb%e5%8b%95\/?utm_source=%E4%BA%A4%E6%98%93%E7%9F%A5%E8%AD%98&amp;utm_medium=WS%E5%AE%98%E7%B6%B2&amp;utm_campaign=%E8%82%A1%E7%A5%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%80%BC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">WINSMART<\/a>\uff0c\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u8a2d\u5b9a\u98a8\u96aa\u63a7\u7ba1\u3001\u505c\u640d\u505c\u5229\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u6b3e\u53ef\u4ee5\u8f14\u52a9\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u9032\u884c\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u642d\u914d\u5b8c\u6574\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u8ab2\u7a0b\u548c\u6a21\u64ec\u4ea4\u6613\u7df4\u7fd2\u529f\u80fd\uff0c\u8b93\u65b0\u624b\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0d\u5fc5\u6d6a\u8cbb\u591a\u9918\u7684\u91d1\u9322\u5230\u5e02\u5834\u4e2d\u78b0\u649e\uff0c\u78d5\u7684\u5168\u8eab\u662f\u50b7\u3002<\/p><p>\u5c0d\u65bc\u591a\u6578\u4ea4\u6613\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u901a\u5f80\u7a69\u5b9a\u7372\u5229\u7684\u9053\u8def\u4e0a\uff0c\u7121\u6cd5\u514b\u670d\u7684\u6700\u5927\u96e3\u95dc\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u90fd\u662f\u7372\u5229\u62b1\u4e0d\u4f4f\u90e8\u4f4d\uff0c\u6216\u662f\u8667\u640d\u6642\u624b\u8edf\u7121\u6cd5\u505c\u640d\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u52a0\u78bc\u6524\u5e73\u51f9\u55ae\u5c0e\u81f4\u56b4\u91cd\u7684\u5927\u8ce0\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64<a href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/%e8%bf%91%e6%9c%9f%e6%b4%bb%e5%8b%95\/?utm_source=%E4%BA%A4%E6%98%93%E7%9F%A5%E8%AD%98&amp;utm_medium=WS%E5%AE%98%E7%B6%B2&amp;utm_campaign=%E8%82%A1%E7%A5%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%80%BC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">WINSMART<\/a>\u5c31\u662f\u4f60\u7684\u6700\u4f73\u5925\u4f34\uff0c\u8a2d\u5b9a\u597d\u689d\u4ef6\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u4e0d\u5fc5\u770b\u76e4\uff0c\u4f9d\u7167\u689d\u4ef6\u505a\u5230\u7dca\u62b1\u90e8\u4f4d\u3001\u8cc7\u91d1\u63a7\u7ba1\u3001\u81ea\u52d5\u505c\u5229\u505c\u640d\u3002<\/p><p>\ud83d\udc49<strong>\u7acb\u5373\u5831\u540d &gt;&gt; <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/%e8%bf%91%e6%9c%9f%e6%b4%bb%e5%8b%95\/?utm_source=%E4%BA%A4%E6%98%93%E7%9F%A5%E8%AD%98&amp;utm_medium=WS%E5%AE%98%E7%B6%B2&amp;utm_campaign=%E8%82%A1%E7%A5%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%80%BC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><strong>WINSMART\u7dda\u4e0a\u5206\u4eab\u6703<\/strong><\/a><\/p><figure class=\"wp-block-image alignwide\"><a href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/%e8%bf%91%e6%9c%9f%e6%b4%bb%e5%8b%95\/?utm_source=%E4%BA%A4%E6%98%93%E7%9F%A5%E8%AD%98&amp;utm_medium=WS%E5%AE%98%E7%B6%B2&amp;utm_campaign=%E8%82%A1%E7%A5%A8%E4%BC%B0%E5%80%BC\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh5.googleusercontent.com\/dMzXCDNdmLti_ObeFpYslwh1CKF1aT7UB9hly1hxbDtn90QsexLLPrd4-kun2JRx8HBmzNGSg2aokKT1aGhCwXQCTsXtjIm_8jGn0WOffVzWJTeM0QwoFLV4YLaY3WDicA4M1h5cuIqT1YtQtucGQG0IBQvxdk1owyFGGOjwvP4YqhC3eyHWKnJ7xg\" alt=\"WINSMAR\u8070\u660e\u8d0f\u671f\u8ca8\u8edf\u9ad4-\u90e8\u843d\u683c\u5ee3\u544a\"\/><\/a><\/figure><h2 class=\"has-vivid-cyan-blue-color has-text-color wp-block-heading\"><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong><strong>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c<\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong><\/strong> <\/strong><\/strong><\/strong>06. 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class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.kgif.com.tw\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u51f1\u57fa\u671f\u8ca8<\/a>\u3001<a class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/ft.entrust.com.tw\/index.do\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Hua Nan Futures<\/a>\u3001<a class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pfcf.com.tw\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">President Futures<\/a>\u3001<a class=\"rank-math-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.concordfutures.com.tw\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Concord 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type=\"application\/ld+json\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@type\":\"FAQPage\",\"mainEntity\":[{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"WINSMART\u53ef\u4ee5\u642d\u914d\u54ea\u5e7e\u5bb6\u5238\u5546\u5462\uff1f\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"WINSMART\u9664\u4e86\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u9084\u53ef\u4ee5\u642d\u914dMulticharts\u3001MT5\u4f86\u4ea4\u6613\u80a1\u7968\u3001\u5916\u532f\u4fdd\u8b49\u91d1\u5546\u54c1\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6709\u642d\u914d\u7fa4\u76ca\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u5143\u5927\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u51f1\u57fa\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u83ef\u5357\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u7d71\u4e00\u671f\u8ca8\u3001\u5eb7\u548c\u671f\u8ca8\u7b49\u5238\u5546\u4e0b\u55ae\u3002\"}},{\"@type\":\"Question\",\"name\":\"\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\",\"acceptedAnswer\":{\"@type\":\"Answer\",\"text\":\"\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u53ef\u4ee5\u5e6b\u52a9\u6211\u5011\u4e86\u89e3\u4e00\u6a94\u80a1\u7968\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u771f\u5be6\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u8457\u540d\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u975e\u5e38\u64c5\u9577\u9032\u884c\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\uff0c\u8cb7\u9032\u88ab\u5e02\u5834\u4f4e\u4f30\u7684\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u7b49\u80a1\u50f9\u88ab\u5e02\u5834\u9ad8\u4f30\u6642\u518d\u8ce3\u51fa\u3002\"}}]}<\/script>\n<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c 01. \u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\uff1f \u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u662f\u4ec0\u9ebc\u5462\uff1f\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u7684\u7528\u610f\u5728\u65bc\u627e\u51fa\u80a1\u7968\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u5c31\u597d\u50cf\u6211\u5011\u5e73\u6642 &#8230; <a title=\"\u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u5927\u5e2b\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u81f4\u5bcc\u7d55\u6280\uff0c1\u671d\u9818\u609f\uff0c\u53d7\u7528\u4e00\u751f !.\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/winsmart.tw\/en\/trading_knowledge\/%e8%82%a1%e7%a5%a8%e4%bc%b0%e5%80%bc\/\" aria-label=\"More on \u80a1\u7968\u4f30\u503c\u5927\u5e2b\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u7684\u81f4\u5bcc\u7d55\u6280\uff0c1\u671d\u9818\u609f\uff0c\u53d7\u7528\u4e00\u751f !.\">Read 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